Five Fact Friday 30 Aug 2024 Zoopla HPI shows 7 year record high listings and sale delays for price droppers https://assets.ctfassets.net/02vwvgr6spsr/5w99HETUtORhsbw5XOIVBj/69ec7d1266bcde10d4680b4994fe8f37/HPI_Aug_2024_-_ZP.pdf Nationwide reports small fall in average mortgaged transaction index value (aka ‘house prices’) ONS Housebuilding Data shows Q1 Housebuilding at 50% of gov target https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/datasets/ukhousebuildingpermanentdwellingsstartedandcompleted UK House Prices Post Surprise Fall Despite BOE Rate… Continue reading Mortgage Approvals Jump to highest in 2 years
Tag: house prices
Sales agreed down 1/3rd, completions down 40% v 2019.
5 Fact Friday – 19 July 2024 May sales completion rates remain circa 40% below Q4 ’19 levels https://20115751.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/20115751/LIG_Property%20Trends%20Report/2024/LIG%20Q2%202024%20Property%20trends%20report/Q2%2024%20EW%20SC%20property%20trends%20report%20-%20RESI/Reports/LM%20RESI%20PTR%20JUL24%20EWS%20GENERIC%20v1.pdf Rightmove July New Asking Prices Fall: https://www.rightmove.co.uk/news/content/uploads/2024/07/Rightmove-HPI-15th-July-Final.pdf Population growth being 90% accommodated by new build rates. Total new construction starts now lower than 2009 King’s Speech reintroduces the “Renter’s Rights Bill” https://theindependentlandlord.com/kings-speech https://www.parliament.uk/business/news/2024/july/state-opening-of-parliament-2024 Lloyds Bank to… Continue reading Sales agreed down 1/3rd, completions down 40% v 2019.
5 Fact Friday 8 March – Great news
5FF 8 March 2024 Jan 2024 Transactions fall 10% on year earlier, 20% on December. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/monthly-property-transactions-completed-in-the-uk-with-value-40000-or-above/uk-monthly-property-transactions-commentary 2023 Mortgage Lending lowest in 50 years – UK Finance https://ukfinance-newsroom.prgloo.com/news/affordability-pressures-push-down-mortgage-lending-and-savings-in-2023 UK Spring Budget 2024 – CGT Cut from 28 to 24%, Stamp Duty holiday ends, Holiday Lets tax break ends https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spring-budget-2024/spring-budget-2024-html#:~:text=a%20timely%20manner.-,6.6%20Housing,-Barking%20%E2%80%93%20The OBR: 2026 before house prices rise https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/property/house-prices/falling-interest-rates-to-drive-house-price-recovery… Continue reading 5 Fact Friday 8 March – Great news
2024 Spring Budget Boost for Affordable Housing
The lack of help for first time buyers or other government stimulus is the best thing that could have happened. What goes up, must come down. Except house prices, it would seem. The chances of buying a home have continued to escape more and more would-be home buyers. The average age of a first time… Continue reading 2024 Spring Budget Boost for Affordable Housing
The Week It All Changed.
5 Fact Friday – 16 Feb 2024 ONS December House Price Index continues to be confuseless. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-house-price-index-for-december-2023/uk-house-price-index-summary-december-2023 January Inflation Unchanged Again at 4.2%: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/january2024 GDP – We’re officially in Recession: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/octobertodecember2023 GDP Per Capita – We’ve been in recession for 2 years already: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/octobertodecember2023#:~:text=%2D0.2-,Source%3A%20GDP%20first%20quarterly%20estimate%20from%20the%20Office%20for%20National%20Statistics,-Notes Commercial Property Debt Time-bomb close to detonating: https://www.businessinsider.nl/commercial-real-estate-is-in-big-trouble-and-the-problems-may-have-major-financial-fallout/ Bonus fact, for… Continue reading The Week It All Changed.
Everything’s Fine! No. No it’s not.
Five Fact Friday – 9 Feb 2024 House Prices Up! *NOT* https://www.halifax.co.uk/media-centre/house-price-index.html RICS – “The worst is over!” *NOT* https://www.rics.org/content/dam/ricsglobal/documents/market-surveys/uk-residential-market-survey/January-2024_RICS-UK-Residential-Market-Survey.pdf Mortgage Rates UP. https://www.forbes.com/uk/advisor/mortgages/2024/02/08/mortgage-updates/ Mortgage Arrears UP. https://www.ukfinance.org.uk/news-and-insight/press-release/mortgage-arrears-and-possessions-figures-q4-2023 Valuation Requests Record High https://www.rightmove.co.uk/news/articles/property-news/home-valuations-hit-new-record/
Halifax v Rightmove?
Halifax says “house prices” rose in December 2023, monthly, quarterly and yearly. Rightmove’s December 2023 index says they fell, monthly and yearly. Question: Why would sellers be lowering asking prices across the board if actual house prices were rising? Think about it. Then you decide. My view: You are being gaslit by the debt salesmen.… Continue reading Halifax v Rightmove?
Moving home in 2024
This time last year the message from the moving industry was “everything’s fine, 2023 will be fine”. For movers, whether you were buying or selling (and even ignoring prices) 2023 was the most difficult year for moving home in recent memory as transaction volumes reduced and lending tightened, with lenders making many more down-valuations on homes… Continue reading Moving home in 2024
Festive Final Five Fact Friday of 2023
5FF 1 Dec 2023 Fact 1: Bank of England October Mortgage approvals up. (They couldn’t have got much lower). https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/money-and-credit/2023/october-2023 Zoopla Nov HPI. – 6 year supply high. £18,000 average discounts from asking price. https://www.zoopla.co.uk/discover/property-news/house-price-index/ Used car market crashing 4.2% in one month https://cardealermagazine.co.uk/publish/used-car-price-crash-continues-with-trade-values-falling-4-2-again-in-november/293687 Government botches leasehold reform legislation. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/bill-to-ban-leaseholds-doesnt-ban-leaseholds-ministers-admit-g9mvh27dw New legislation for property listings announced … Continue reading Festive Final Five Fact Friday of 2023
No New Stimulus. 5 Fact Friday 24th Nov 2023
5FF 24 Nov 2023 – The week of Jeremy Hunt’s Autumn Statement