Five Fact Friday 30 Aug 2024 Zoopla HPI shows 7 year record high listings and sale delays for price droppers https://assets.ctfassets.net/02vwvgr6spsr/5w99HETUtORhsbw5XOIVBj/69ec7d1266bcde10d4680b4994fe8f37/HPI_Aug_2024_-_ZP.pdf Nationwide reports small fall in average mortgaged transaction index value (aka ‘house prices’) ONS Housebuilding Data shows Q1 Housebuilding at 50% of gov target https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/datasets/ukhousebuildingpermanentdwellingsstartedandcompleted UK House Prices Post Surprise Fall Despite BOE Rate… Continue reading Mortgage Approvals Jump to highest in 2 years
Tag: charlie lamdin
Mortgage wars, falling rents, the week in housing.
5FF – 23 Aug 2024 House values are currently at 2003 levels. Nationwide. https://rationanalytics.com/uk/house-prices-inflation-adjusted Rightmove Average Asking Prices fall between £700 and £15,000 in August https://www.rightmove.co.uk/news/content/uploads/2024/08/Rightmove-HPI-19th-August-Final.pdf Rents Start Falling https://www.zoopla.co.uk/discover/property-news/rents-start-falling-in-major-cities Rachel Reeves the Rent Raiser Mortgage rate cutting war hots up https://www.standard.co.uk/business/mortgage-price-war-nationwide-hsbc-natwest-b1177737.html
A mixed bag for housing – 5FF 9 August
Five Fact Friday 9 August 2024 Bloomberg reports signs of a house price recovery https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-08-08/there-are-tentative-signs-of-a-uk-house-price-recovery Halifax average purchase price of its mortgage business rises 2% year on year https://www.halifax.co.uk/assets/pdf/july-2024-halifax-house-price-index.pdf RICS says “outlook brightening” https://www.rics.org/news-insights/market-surveys/uk-residential-market-survey Zoopla “20 minute offer” survey article https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/credj9geenno Persimmon New Build Forecast Improves Link to Zoopla boss’s post on the end of… Continue reading A mixed bag for housing – 5FF 9 August
Housing Politics is about who can deliver the least bad outcome.
We are in the housing mess we’re in for one reason bigger than all the others put together: Politics. NOTHING has a bigger impact on the housing market than politics. Nothing else comes close. Consider the shocking state of our housing industry, spiralling rents, mortgage payments and affordability nightmares. 100% of these situations are a… Continue reading Housing Politics is about who can deliver the least bad outcome.
If we fix housing first, we will be better placed to fix everything else.
Why today’s budget won’t fix the housing crisis (and what will). Today is budget day. An opportunity to help the housing crisis. The housing crisis is a social crisis. It started with selling off social housing, then not replacing that social housing. So now we don’t have enough social housing. As a result, we the… Continue reading If we fix housing first, we will be better placed to fix everything else.
No, Nationwide. That’s what got us into this mess.
Nationwide Building Society begs for a government bailout for first time buyers and savers. 20 Nov 2023 NATIONWIDE CALLS FOR MORE SUPPORT FOR FIRST-TIME BUYERS AND SAVERS Nationwide wants greater government support [aka free money] for first-time buyers and savers ahead of the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement as rising costs delay owning a home and building… Continue reading No, Nationwide. That’s what got us into this mess.
2024 will bring about the end of estate agency as we know it, in a good way.
There’s one thing that’s not in dispute: A fall in transaction volumes is bad for everyone who needs or wants to move house. It’s also bad for the multi-layered industry that makes it’s living from these transactions. A painful but cathartic rebirth of the moving industry is underway. Whatever happens to house prices as 2024… Continue reading 2024 will bring about the end of estate agency as we know it, in a good way.
5 Fact Friday 10 Nov 2023 Mortgage Arrears jump 7% in Q3 2023
Halifax confirms it expects house prices to continue falling until 2025, despite the one month rise in it’s average house price index https://www.halifax.co.uk/assets/pdf/october-2023-house-price-index.pdf RICS survey for October shows buyer demand and sales activity in ‘deeply negative territory’ https://www.rics.org/content/dam/ricsglobal/documents/market-surveys/uk-residential-market-survey/10._WEB_October_2023_RICS_UK_Residential_Market_Survey_tp.pdf MHWC provides mathematical proof that house prices go down when the ‘average’ price goes up https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tm4EzSBXTifKIRjPAoTUGW7td62SrPKee4jELjUxgzk/edit?usp=sharing RICS… Continue reading 5 Fact Friday 10 Nov 2023 Mortgage Arrears jump 7% in Q3 2023
The UK’s House Price Correction has only just begun.
The house price “correction” if you want to call it that, is only just getting started. The “corrections” being applied will include correcting for: 1. 12+ years of artificially low interest rates 2. The effects of £1trn of QE now being reversed 3. The unwinding of the effects of Help to Buy on wider house… Continue reading The UK’s House Price Correction has only just begun.
Autumn asking prices of ‘sold’ homes drop 3.5% in 2 weeks
September 2023 BestAgent House Price Index (beta) by Charlie Lamdin Housing market’s weak pulse shows autumn improvement The number of homes showing as “sale agreed” across England jumped by nearly 8% to 62,695 during the middle two weeks of September, reflecting the post-summer holiday seasonal activity increase we’d normally expect. However, transaction numbers remain substantially… Continue reading Autumn asking prices of ‘sold’ homes drop 3.5% in 2 weeks